Anatoliy Antropov

Mezhdistsiplinarnye Metody Obobshcheniya Metodik Tsiklicheskikh Krivykh: Tsikly Kitchina-kruma-mitchella, Osipova, Zhuglara, Mura, Kuznetsa, Kondrat'eva I Shumpetera Anatoliy Antropov Russian edition

Monografiya posvyashchena aktual'noy probleme - teorii ekonomicheskikh tsiklov. Sozdana mezhdistsiplinarnaya svodnaya ekonomiko-matematicheskaya teoriya ekonomicheskikh tsiklov. Ona pozvolyaet zablagovremenno i dostatochno tochno predskazyvat' na posleduyushchie periody fazy tsikla, ikh sroki i glubiny faz spada i pod"ema. Ona «obkatana» na razlichnykh ekonomicheskikh pokazatelyakh SShA, Velikobritanii, Frantsii, SSSR i RF. Vvedeny novye sostavlyayushchie ekonomicheskogo pokazatelya dlya vyyavleniya ego dostatochno chistykh bazovykh variantov teoreticheskikh tsiklicheskikh krivykh. Dany otsenki vliyaniy istoricheskikh sobytiy, izmeneniya tamozhennykh tarifov, gosudarstvennogo programmirovaniya. Vvedeny ponyatiya: analogov rasstoyaniya, skorosti, uskoreniya, sily Guka i aerodinamicheskoy sily, a takzhe obshchego, glavnogo perioda svodnoy tsiklicheskoy krivoy T, opredelyaemogo koeffitsientom korrelyatsii. Tsikly Kitchina, Kruma, Mitchella, Osipova, Zhuglara, Kuznetsa, Mura, Kondrat'eva yavlyayutsya sostavnymi, chastnymi sluchayami teorii ekonomicheskikh tsiklov avtora. Vyyavleny novye tsikly s periodami let: 25-45, 61-90, 91-120, 121-160, 161-200, 201-250, 251-300, ?, 501-550. Postroeny ekonomiko-matematicheskie podmodeli mirovykh ekonomicheskikh tsiklov ?? 1_1, 1_2, 2_1 i 2_2.